Pages

Consolidation of (some) WD Gann's writings

Introduction to Fractal Geometry

WD Gann: Volume of Sales [Original]


I am constantly stunned by so many people out there who have no respect for Volume of Sales/ Trades. IMO, Volumes are critical in establishing the trueness of the levels. Here is a material by WD Gann giving the  importance of the volumes and how to/ he use(d) it.

WD Gann's Master Course of his Methods and Techniques. [Original]

An Absolute Must-Read for all Gann followers. Here Gann defines and even calculates how he uses and calculates the charts / calculators / angles and its uses. 

Original - Gann - Master Chart Course

Long Term Gann Forecasts [18+19 cycle]

Long Term Gann Cycle forecasts based on 18  - 19 year cycles


This is our interpretation of Gann forecasts. Other experts take a different view.

WD Gann: How to Trade [Original]

Secrets of WD Gann and his core rules on Trading


Gann's Square of Nine Does NOT Matter.


To all my dear Gann fans, newbies, and more ....


The real meat of all the Gann’s core philosophies lies in _________. It does not lie in Square of Nine, which in my view is a representation and application of the core view.

Though I am not declaring what it is that I hold of such great interest, I would like to state that if you are able to view and understand the core of the Square of Nine and why it even remains useful, then it will be very interesting means of finding the residual factor. This factor in my opinion, and one which is quite in open, is something that is the crucial crunchie for its success.

So please stop chasing Square of Nine and its usage, or for that matter several other mind-numbing esoteric charts out there. Concentrate on why and what makes it function!

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I understand the hypocrisy of this post. Claiming to know something but not yet revealing it. You must understand, the journey itself took almost a decade for me – alone. The real problem in sharing it is – even if I shared it in open, I am sure it will be berated and abused for even calling it a secret. As I have already told you, the thing is out in the open – the secret is in how you use it.

The reason I write this, albeit several years late, is that I still see lots of people struggling in understanding that Square of Nine is just a tool to the achieve, think of it as an buildings’ blue-print. The blue-print and the building itself IS NOT the ‘secret’, but it is just a manifestation and application of the ‘secret’ in the open world.

Before, people bash me, let me just say this – this thing works for me, and has done for many years of study and trade now. So, please do not try and preach me out of it.

Good Luck.


PS: Sit back and think about this for few minutes, it may save you months/ years of wasteful pursuits.


PS: Why I have pretty much told you guys what lies at its core! As I told you, its not a 'secret' but its out in the open! Good Luck.

WD Gann: Forecasting by Time Cycles [Original]

A must read for the Gann and Cycle enthusiasts. 
Original - Gann - Forcasting by Time Cycles

Gann: Pattern, Price and Time. [Book - Preview]

Fallacy of Gann's Square of Nine, Prime Spirals and Their Spiral Properties


One of the biggest fallacies of Gann's Square of Nine is that we don't know WHY it works, if at all it works! We have no conclusive evidence as to what factors make this point work nor do we have enough logic to understand why it works. But we have seen it time and again that this Square of Nine has worked well and forms a unique pattern.

The problem with showing the evidences of work as the evidence of logic is that if you pick any pattern of numbers or geometry, with sufficient number of tries and data we will have something that will FIT the same logic as Gann's square of Nine. Therefore, for all things said and done, Square of Nine looks like a smart approximation of number series which is turns up correct on most instances. And more and more it turns up correct, more it will become reliable because of self-filling tendency (prophecy) of traders and speculators.
  
Now lets hit some messy details:

This is looking to turn the theory on its head.. i.e. if you were to invent a random series of numbers and log them into a Square of Nine chart, then what would be the ratio of its successes to failures. For one, since we are picking up closely associated but random numbers, there will be a visible and overt pattern. And more data that you can massage and fit into the Square of Nine chart, more will be its ratios of successes.

Therefore, Square of Nine, per se, has no unique quality or ability to estimate the supports, resistances or turning points. Given enough number of shots, they are bound to get it right at some point.

Now, having said that, let’s assume the above theory of random numbers coming correct is true [which it is, with enough data massage] Now, the interesting question is: what is the ratio of correctness / probability of hits between each set of random numbers on the Square of Nine? The first logical deduction is that all the numbers which are in some form of higher harmonics – like Prime numbers, Fibonacci, Pi multiples – to have a higher edge of becoming the best number series.

Now let’s deduct further, which of these – Fibonacci, Primes and PIs – do the Squares give the most successes to? The data, as explained before, is unexplainable i.e. skew-able depending on your liking / prejudice of number sets. However, that is not the point of this article. The real point that we want to make here is: Square of Nines does not have a “Magic Placements” of numbers either by design or by angle, however a number becomes relevant by its sheer positioning in the entire scheme of things AND that the way Gann used the Square of Nine was to distill and adopt the best method of using the Square of Nine (and not the only method)


Conclusion:

Gann has done lot of work, and mainly (perhaps) by common sense, to distill the number sets that work well together with other numbers on Square of Nine. Together this number set, (probably) has higher level of successes than other number sets. It’s just that most of the numbers of this numbers-set happen to lie of the perpendicular axis (which is again not surprising!) It is also highly dependent on the Point of Origination on the chart.

Therefore we can conclude that though Gann’s Square of Nine does not offer us some real conclusive evidences of its nature of work, seems to come correct on a higher than usual numbers all because of the fallacy of perception.

This by the nature of above explanation CAN be rectified and corrected off the perception differences, however that requires a different way of tackling the above problem. We will discuss these different ways and most busting of Square of Nine, in subsequent articles.

South Sea - Bubble Cards

South Sea mania and boom bust, depicted in popular representation

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...